Saturday, December 13, 2008

N.L North Division Predictions


The N.L. North was the most fiercely contested division last year as only 8 games separated 1st place from 4th place. However, while it was fiercely contested within the division, only one team finished with a .500 or better record and that team was the Minnesota Mighty Men. And Minnesota is where we start our N.L. North predictions.



Season 10: 1st Place (82-80)
Season 11 Prediction: 1st Place

The Skinny:
While they finished with 82 wins last season, expectations are much higher this year as some of Minnesota's young talent starts to come of age. The "Mighties" boast a sweet crop of youngsters that are ready to make a name for themselves. 3B Bill Hewson is probably the best of the bunch, but he'll have a lot of support from the likes of short stop Miguel Mateo, 1B/DH J.J. Taylor and OF Willis Bonilla. 1B/DH Hector Maduro looks like he's arrived from AAA ball for the entire season as well. That's a very potent lineup and not one of those players is over 25 years old! Expect a lot of runs to be scored by this lineup.
While the lineup is excellent, the pitching staff needs work. Mitch Tanner is a decent inning-eater to have at the top of the rotation and B.C. Tatis has great stuff, but the rest of the rotation needs to improve. Of course, if they can survive long enough to hand the ball to Don Yoshii, they'll be just fine.


Sioux Falls
Sioux Falls Canaries (NL)
yoker70
View Hardball Dynasty Profile

Season 10: 3rd Place (78-84)
Season 11 Prediction: 2nd Place

The Skinny:
There was no one more active in free agent signings than yoker70 and his Sioux Falls Canaries. Did the offseason hard work pay off? I think it did, but I still had a hard time sliding them into a 2nd place prediction. The biggest name heading to Sioux Falls is definitely starting pitcher Paul Ishii. Ishii's a very nice addition to any rotation simply because he'll guarantee you about 220-240 innings pitched every season, but he's not a dominant pitcher (101-101 career record) by any means. A couple of seasons ago, Steve Floyd would've been a huge name in free agency, but he's a little past his prime. Floyd can still pitch though and that is why Sioux Falls is bringing him in as well. The Canaries didn't have to look far for the next addition to their pitching staff. They nabbed Junior Valentin away from division rival, Minnesota. However, even will all the new additions, the best pitcher on the staff is probably 23-year old Charlie Nelson (9-9, 4.09).
While the Canaries spent some money on the pitching staff, they also took out the checkbook for the offense as well. Scott Rose comes over from Detroit and will see time at DH and 1B and Brad Moyer makes his way to Sioux Falls via Wichita. With all these changes, I still believe the Canaries will need Omar Rivas to put up better numbers than he did last season in order to compete with Minnesota.


Montreal
Montreal Mother Canuckers (NL)
tmfran
View Hardball Dynasty Profile

Season 10: 2nd Place (79-83)
Season 11 Prediction: 3rd Place

The Skinny:
The biggest change for the this club is the move from Rochester to Montreal (I'm a big fan of the team name, by the way), but there were also a lot of free agent signings here as well. I just don't think they made out as well as yoker70 (aka Mr. Moneybags). The free agent signing who should make the biggest impact is outfielder Valerio Palmeiro who arrives from San Diego/Vancouver. Aside from the free agent additions, the best move here was certainly the trade for Pedro Cruz. Cruz was 15-8 last season splitting time between AA and AAA ball, but he'll make his rookie campaign in the majors this season.
While I think the team will take a step back this season, they've still got some talent in the likes of Bobby Ray Palmer and Fernando Sanchez. And even if they stumble a little this season, all eyes will be on James Barnes and his quest to become the first player in Mantle World to reach 2,000 hits. He currently stands at 1,813 hits and tallied over 201 last season so there's a good chance he could reach that monumental number this season.



Season 10: 4th Place (74-88)
Season 11 Prediction: 4th Place

The Skinny:
One wonders how long Sherm Roberts will remain in Trenton. The 2-time MVP is a great bargaining chip and could probably bring in some excellent prospects if Trenton decides to look toward the future. It would be a tough decision to move him because this division was up for grabs last year, but if Minnesota and the others pull away early, let's just say the trade rumors started here! Can I add Cam DeRosa to those rumors as well? These 2 guys have been the foundation of Titans offense for so long, but the pitching staff has never been up to snuff and it doesn't look like that has changed this season either. It's not for a lack of effort on the part of KGS77 because he's always looking to trade for pitching. There's just not much that's been made available.
As for the current rotation, Cristian Torres is a decent starter and Shannon Ojeda will get some people out, but there's a major arms need here in Trenton. In fact, the best arms are in the bullpen in Al Vargas and newcomer Ronnie Brooks. Add those guys to Enrique Lee and the bullpen is pretty solid.

A.L North Division Predictions




Season 10: 1st Place (106-56) - World Series Champion
Season 11 Prediction: 1st Place

The Skinny:
I could just cut and paste what I wrote about this team at the start of last season (minus the Bucky McDonald mention) because I really have the same thoughts on the Bad Seeds. They have excellent bats led by Season 10 MVP Sammy Shumpert and Ismael Estrella and they have veteran pitching in guys like Dustan Connelly and Rudy Brown (who combined to go 37-14 last season, by the way). And if those guys aren't veteran enough at 37 and 33 years old, they brought in 41-year old Vinny Clement to help out in the bullpen. There is some youth in Detroit though and we think it's only a matter of time before Wesley Downing becomes a regular in the starting rotation. While I give the edge to Detroit here, I see Wichita giving them a run for their money as they did last season.




Season 10: 2nd Place (97-65)
Season 11 Prediction: 2nd Place

The Skinny:
There's a buzz in Wichita this season and with good reason. Red Sherman has arrived. He didn't spend a lot of time in the minors and he didn't need to - this guy can flat out rake it. Sherman may not play every day, but he'll be in the lineup more often than not and the Wranglers are expecting him to provide some needed pop to the lineup. Wait, there's more. Slugger and slick-fielding center fielder Johnnie Adams will be joining Sherman in the majors as well this season. Adams has a sweet glove and can run the bases a bit, but he's also accustomed to jogging the bases (34 HR's in AAA last season). On the pitching front, the Wranglers signed former Blizzard starting pitcher Angel Cruz. I'm not sure if Cruz will be in the rotation or coming out of the 'pen, but either way, he's a solid addition to a great staff led by 4-time all-star and former Cy Young winner Brent Meche. If Apollo Tam and Tony Galvez can produce like they did last season, I expect the Wranglers to be in the playoffs again this season.


Chicago
Chicago Black Sox (AL)
tomq
View Hardball Dynasty Profile


Season 10: 3rd Place (89-73)
Season 11 Prediction: 3rd Place

The Skinny:
I thought this team would be better last season, but what I can say - it's the A.L. North where 89 wins is only good enough for 3rd place and causes you to miss the playoffs by 1 game. The offense has some big-time talent in Derek Taylor, Rob Becker and Julio Valenzuela. Will Hull (Rule 5 waiver claim) and Russell Smith (promoted from AAA) will provide even more pop to the lineup. The Black Sox have a very strong bullpen also as they've clearly focused on improving that aspect of the pitching staff over the last 2 seasons. Jack Abercrombie had an outstanding rookie campaign (12-5, 2.84) and Roscoe Nation and Dick Orosco are back as well. The big question mark for the Black Sox is their starting pitching. Joel Baldwin is steady and Mikey Cook should have a better season, but the depth isn't there which is why I'm predicting a 3rd place finish.




Season 10: 4th Place (82-80)
Season 11 Prediction: 4th Place

The Skinny:
The good news in Scranton is that the Apollos finished over .500 and that was an 11-game improvement over the previous season. The bad news is I still see the Apollos finishing in 4th place. The Apollos bring in 2B Shea O'Connor from Richmond and also traded for Jesus Abreu, but neither player will make a major impact although Abreu can pitch until his arm falls off. Geronimo Franco, a Rule 5 draftee with gaudy minor league numbers, will get a chance in the lineup also, but they're still a little short on talent compared with their division rivals. Dan King and Pat Masao form an excellent offensive tandem and they're both young so the future looks pretty good offensively. The pitching staff needs a major upgrade though. Tyler Taylor is the best of the bunch and he's only 24, but I look at his health and wonder if he'll make it to 25! Marshall Whitney is another young pitcher (promoted from AA) who looks like he'll get a shot, but he's still a few years away from reaching his potential and the jump from AA ball to the majors may be tough for him.

Monday, December 8, 2008

Will Jesus Be The Savior?


AP (Scranton, PA) - In need of a starting pitcher, the Apollos trade for Jesus...Abreu, that is. The Scranton Apollos traded a trio of players including Cookie Mateo, Dick Strong and Douglas Young in exchange for Jesus Abreu who comes to Scranton from the Minnesota Mighty Men.
"I had to trade Dick Strong and a guy named Cookie because I believe the guy I'm acquiring, Jesus, will be the savior of my franchise," said Apollos owner, tecwrg. The reference to Cookie Mateo and Dick Strong was due to the fact that the pair have developed quite the fan following in Scranton as they progressed through the Apollos minor league system.
Dubbed "Cookies & Cream" by teammates, Mateo and Strong were inseparable around Scranton, and although disappointed that they're leaving the Apollos organization, were happy to note that they'll still be playing together in Minnesota.
As for the Mighty Men, they have to be happy with the players they got in return for Abreu. Mateo and Strong are both major league ready although neither has even played AAA ball yet. It'll be interesting to see whether they start the season with a stint in AAA or head straight to the majors. Douglas Young, the 3rd player going to Minnesota, also has major league potential although he's a couple years away. Young projects to be a long reliever/spot starter.

Former First-Rounders Swap Teams



AP (Miami) - Four former first round draft picks will swap uniforms in a recent deal between the Florida Lockdown and the Oklahoma City Power Failure. Oklahoma City acquired Howard Christiansen (Season 5, Round 1, Pick 30), James Bradshaw (Season 2, Round 1, Pick 32) and Max Aldred (Season 8, Round 1, Pick 32) while Florida gets Grady MacFarlane (Season 7, Round 1, Pick 7) and Vic Sanchez (Int' Free Agent) in return.
MacFarlane is coming off back-to-back seasons in which he produced over 90 RBI and scored over 90 runs in each campaign. He also jacked 27 home runs in each of his first 2 seasons in the majors. Sanchez won 11 games in High A ball for the Power Failure last season.
In Bradshaw, Oklahoma City gets a consistent starting pitcher who chews up a lot of innings. Bradshaw's started 33 games in each of the last 2 seasons while winning 13 and 14 games respectively. Christiansen had a monster year at Double A for Florida last season as he scored 151 runs and drove in 119. He will presumably start the season in AAA, but may get the call up to the bigs as the season progresses. Alred, won 11 games in Low A ball last season, but control is a major issue (1.71 WHIP) for the lefty from Anderson, California.

Sunday, December 7, 2008

Cohen & Gill Join The Beltway Bombers


AP (Washington DC) - The Washington D.C. Commuters picked up a pair of 20-year olds in a blockbuster deal with the Oklahoma City Power Failure. Shortstop Phil Cohen and right fielder Rafael Gil will make the trip east to the nation's capital while the Commuters send Nolan Anderson, Sammy Piedra and veteran Cyrus Stanley to Oklahoma City.
Cohen, the 12th pick in the season 9 draft, was the key acquisition for the Commuters as he has a great glove, strong arm and decent speed in addition to the solid bat.
Oklahoma City was intent on getting starting pitching in the deal and came away with a pretty good one in Sammy Piedra. Piedra is an inning-eater (213.1 IP last season) with very good control and a nice 4-seamer and curveball.

Saturday, December 6, 2008

Oles Take Bull By The Horns


AP (Salem, OR) - The Salem Oles completed a blockbuster trade yesterday acquiring a couple high-priced veterans in Mike Florie and starting pitcher Harry Mateo. In exchange for the former All-Star and 3-time Cy Young winner, the Oles parted ways with a trio of talented players including 1B/DH Harry Hudson, starting pitcher Derek Fiore and a top-rated prospect, Carlos Barcelo.
It is believed that the key players in the deal were actually Mateo and Barcelo. The Oles (evegoe) were looking for a top-of-the-rotation stud that could help them win now, while the Baymen (dalailama12) would not make the deal if it did not include a top prospect. Fiore will take Mateo's spot in the Baymen rotation, while Florie will most likely take Hudson's spot in the Oles lineup. With Hudson's career on the downswing, he'll probably be a part-time player in Tacoma unless someone gets injured.

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Record Breakers, Season 10

  • Michael Phelps may have been the biggest record breaker this past summer, but he wasn't alone. In season 10 of Mantle World, thirteen players were able to write their names in the all-time single season Mantle record books. Some of these records were good, and some were . . . well, not so good. Tonight, we'll take a look at these thirteen records (four hitting and nine fielding) which were set last season.

Hitting:

Marino Tejera (Rochester Rockets)

  • Doubles - 57 - previous record - 56 (Carson Reed, Minnesota Mighty Men, season 2, and Pablo Ordonez, San Antonio Soggy Bottom Boys, season 6)

James Hogan (Chicago Old Style)

  • Infield Hits - 48 - previous record - unknown, as the top five record holders were all achieved in season 10

Albert Sosa (Chicago Black Sox)

  • Sacrifice Hits - 62 - previous record -36 (Eric Bloomquist, Portland Poltergeists, season 2)

Julio Park (Kansas City Monarchs)

  • Stolen Bases - 118 - previous record - 107 (Charles Hines, Kansas City Monarchs, season 8)

Fielding:

Michael Cortes (Louisville Beaners)

  • Assists (RF) - 15 - previous record - 14 (Cesar Solano, Toledo Mun Hens, season 7)
Victor Swindell (Fresno Silver Bullets)

  • Bad Plays (P) - 4 - previous record - 3 (shared by many)
Charlie Lombardi (New York Metros)

  • Errors (3B) - 43 - previous record - 42 (Paul Shelley, Anaheim DeadPools, season 3)

Julio Frias (Colorado Ligers)

  • Errors (C) - 16 - previous record - unknown, as the top five record holders were all achieved in season 10
Steven Bonds (New York Metros)

  • Errors (RF) - 11 - previous record - 8 (shared by many)
Damian Hyun (Oklahoma City Power Failure)

  • Fielding Percentage (worst) (C) - .979 - previous record - .983 (Benny Ball, Durham Bulls, season 9)
Bucky McDonald (Detroit Bad Seeds)

  • Good Plays (3B) - 7 - previous record - 6 (Eddie Darnell, Toledo Mud Hens, season 5)
Bill Kane (Chicago Old Style)

  • Putouts (RF) - 250 - previous record - 243 (Carlos Otanez, Hartford Clippers, season 2)
Gerald Hong (Chicago Old Style)

  • Runners Caught Stealing Percentage - .508 - previous record - .460 (Max Bocachica, Scranton Apollos, season 9)